Southern North Island wood availability forecasts for the period 2008–2040
To assist with regional planning, the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry has compiled wood availability forecasts for the Southern North Island region, covering the period 2008 to 2040. These forecasts have been made in association with the region’s major forest owners. The forecasts show the range of harvest volumes potentially available from the planted forest estate of both large and small-scale growers.
The forecasts here indicate the availability of radiata pine from the total Southern North Island forest estate will increase slightly over the next few years, despite a drop in the large-scale forest owners’ harvest intentions between 2008 and 2013. After 2016, increases in wood availability across the region are expected to result in increased log supply with the potential for significant volume increases to around 3.25 million cubic metres per year some time from 2024.
Contents
- Overview
- Introduction
- Data
- Wood availability forecasts for Western Southern North Island
- Wood availability forecasts for Eastern Southern North Island
- Wood availability forecasts for the combined Southern North Island
- Concluding comments
- Appendix
Download a pdf of the forecast [PDF 1.25MB]
ISBN 978-0-478-33811-9 (Online)
© Crown copyright – Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry 2008
Printed copies of this report are not available. This report will form a section in the Southern North Island Forest Industry and Wood Availability Forecasts (to be published in the future).
Material contained in this report may be reproduced or published without further licence provided it does not claim to be published under government authority, it is not reproduced for profit and the source is acknowledged.
Acknowledgements
The wood availability forecasts in this report were produced by Dr Bruce Manley, School of Forestry, University of Canterbury. Project management, forestry data and peer review were provided by Julia Stanley, Gerard Horgan, Paul Lane, Doris Chan, Fiona Thomson and Geoff Cameron. Dr Jaap Jasperse and Janine Pollock provided editorial and publishing services.
The Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry thanks the forest owners, managers and consultants who provided the forest resource and harvesting intentions data that were essential for producing the wood availability forecasts, and for providing input at a workshop on an earlier version of the forecasts.
Material contained in this report may be reproduced or published without further licence provided it does not claim to be published under government authority, it is not reproduced for profit and the source is acknowledged.
Disclaimer
Readers who plan to use these wood availability forecasts for planning or investment decisions are urged to thoroughly review the forecasts, or to engage the services of a professional forestry consultant who is able to interpret the forecasts in the context of specific planning or investment decisions.
While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry accepts no liability for any errors or omissions. The information does not necessarily represent the views of individual members of the National Exotic Forest Description (NEFD) Steering Committee nor the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry.
Contact for Enquiries
Policy Adviser
Pastoral House
MAF Policy
PO Box 2526
Wellington 6140
NEW ZEALAND
Fax: +64 4 894 0741
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