SURVEY SUMMARY

10.1 KEY FARM PARAMETERS

The average size, stocking rate and production of the 50/50 sharemilking properties which were surveyed in the Waikato and Canterbury are detailed in Tables 18 and 19.

TABLE 18: Farm Parameters for Sharemilkers


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
Farm size (ha) 86 177
Herd size (cows wintered) 245 490
Production (kgMS) 69,230 160,353
Production (kgMF) 39,787 92,156
Stocking rate (cows/ha) 2.85 2.77
Production per hectare (kgMS) 805 905
Production per hectare (kgMF) 463 520
Production per cow (kgMS) 283 327
Production per cow (kgMF) 162 188

TABLE 19: Farm Parameters of Farm Owners with 50/50 Sharemilkers


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
Farm size (ha) 96 109
Herd size (cows wintered) 268 278
Production (kgMS) 75,959 82,131
Production (kgMF) 43,654 47,201
Stocking rate (cows/ha) 2.79 2.55
Production per hectare (kgMS) 790 753
Production per hectare (kgMF) 454 433
Production per cow (kgMS) 283 295
Production per cow (kgMF) 163 170

Central Waikato Region

Results from the two sets of data for the sharemilker and the farm owner, match up well in most areas. Per hectare and per cow production are on a par with each other. Farm size however, does not match up very well with farm owners showing an average size of 10 ha larger than sharemilkers.

When both groups are averaged the farm size becomes 91 ha. This is similar to Livestock Improvement data which gives the average farm size of a 50% sharemilking job as 90 ha. Using confidence interval analysis and a sample mean of 91 ha, we can be 95% sure that the actual population mean is between 84 ha and 96 ha.

Canterbury Region

For respondents in the Canterbury area there is huge variation between the two data sets. This is primarily due to the low number of valid respondents to the farm owners survey. The reasons for this were discussed earlier.

Those sharemilkers sampled in this region are performing better than their Waikato counterparts. Per hectare production is 100 kgMS/ha ahead while per cow production is ahead by 44 kgMS/cow. It is the view of one Canterbury consultant that this increase in production can largely be attributed to the investment owners who are pushing production along on their farms presumably in order to increase their value and thus returns. This situation has probably pulled other sharemilkers along into similar management systems. For example the use of off-farm grazing over the winter is very common throughout Canterbury. This, in conjunction with irrigation over the summer, means more grass grown on the farm is directed toward milk production.

For further analysis of the survey data the averages detailed in Table 4 have been used.

TABLE 20: Average Farm Parameters for Waikato and Canterbury 50/50 Sharemilking


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
Farm size (ha) 91 177
Herd size (cows wintered) 256 490
Production (kgMS) 73,068 16,0353
Production (kgMF) 41,993 92,156
Stocking rate (cows/ha) 2.8 2.8
Production per hectare (kgMS) 803 905
Production per hectare (kgMF) 461 520
Production per cow (kgMS) 285 327
Production per cow (kgMF) 164 188

When compared to Livestock Improvement Corporation (LIC) data, the farm sizes derived from the survey are significantly higher. Average farm size in the Waikato is 76 ha and in Canterbury is 115 ha according to LIC data. However, this only provides an average farm size over all operational structures. From the survey information it appears that farms with sharemilkers on are approximately 15 ha larger than the average in Waikato and 62 ha larger than the average Canterbury farm when compared across all operational structures.

10.2 AGE OF FARMERS

The average age of farm owners and sharemilkers who participated in the survey are shown in Table 21.

TABLE 21: Average Age of Sharemilkers and Farm Owners


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
Sharemilkers 33 35
Farm owners 58 55

Sharemilkers in Canterbury are slightly older than those in Waikato. This may be due to the higher capital requirement of sharemilking in Canterbury because of the larger average herd size in the area. However, farm owners are marginally younger in Canterbury. Once again this must be regarded with caution due to the low number of valid replies by Canterbury farm owners.

10.3 INVOLVEMENT IN THE DAIRY INDUSTRY

Both sharemilkers and farm owners were asked to identify how long they had spent in the dairy industry in various capacities from farm worker through to owner. The outcomes are detailed below in Tables 22 and 23.

TABLE 22: Sharemilkers - Time Spent in Farming Positions (Years) and Proportion of Respondents who have Occupied the Position


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
50/50 Sharemilking 6 100% 6 100%
Lower order/contract 3 57% 3 76%
Farm manager 2 53% 3 52%
Married couple 2 11% 2 28%
Farm worker 3 65% 3 57%

TABLE 23: Farm Owners - Time Spent in Farming Positions (Years) and Proportion of Respondents who have Occupied the Position


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
Farm owner 26 100% 26
50/50 Sharemilking 7 53% 6
Lower order/contract 3 23% -
Farm manager 7 34% -
Married couple [ "Married couple" is used to refer to a farm workers' position where both partners are required to work on the farm to some degree and are both covered by one salary.] 22 5% -
Farm worker 5 56% 3

Sharemilkers

Sharemilkers in the Waikato and Canterbury have both spent approximately six years in the industry as sharemilkers and a total of 16 and 17 years in the dairy industry respectively.

Proportionately more sharemilkers in Canterbury have spent time in lower order or contract milking jobs, while more Waikato sharemilkers seem to have spent time as farm workers.

Both groups have taken approximately the same amount of time to become 50/50 sharemilkers, 10 years in the Waikato and 11 years in Canterbury. The slightly longer period in Canterbury may be accounted for by sharemilkers having larger herds on average and it is therefore taking longer to gather the capital to purchase a herd.

Farm Owners

Farm owners in both parts of the country have spent 26 years in this position. Due to small numbers of respondents in Canterbury it is difficult to draw further conclusions.

In the Waikato, farm owners spent most of their time, prior to becoming a farm owner, as 50/50 sharemilkers, farm managers and farm workers. Comparatively few spent time as lower order or contract milkers or as married couples. Married couple statistics are distorted by a few people spending large amounts of time in this position.

10.4 TIME SPENT SHAREMILKING

From the data obtained in the previous section, the average duration of sharemilking careers can be calculated.

TABLE 24: Average Duration of Sharemilking Careers


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
Expected for sharemilkers [ Derived from actual survey data.] 13 10
Farm owners 7 6
Difference 6 4

Sharemilkers today have been in the industry on average six years in both areas. The survey indicated they expected to spend a further seven years as a sharemilker in the Waikato and in Canterbury a further four years, making the expected duration of their sharemilking careers 13 years and 10 years respectively.

Sharemilkers in the Waikato today will most likely spend six years longer as sharemilkers than their current farm owners did. In Canterbury they will spend four years longer than their farm owners did. The difference between the two centres is probably a reflection of the higher capital requirement of purchasing a farm in the Waikato region.

11.5 AVERAGE AGE OF TODAY'S FARM OWNERS AS SHAREMILKERS

Approximately 30 years ago, today's farm owners were in the middle of their sharemilking careers. In the following table their average age at that time has been compared to today's sharemilkers.

TABLE 25: Average age of sharemilkers 30 years ago and today


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
30 years ago1 28 26
Today 33 35
Difference 5 9

Thirty years ago, the sharemilkers= average age would have been approximately 28 in the Waikato and 26 in Canterbury. This is five years younger than today's sharemilkers in the Waikato, and nine years younger than today's Canterbury sharemilkers.

This is not a vast difference but is an indication that it is taking sharemilkers longer to progress through the sharemilking system compared to 30 years ago. The generally higher level of education today may also influence the average age of sharemilkers through raising the average entry age into the farming industry.

10.6 NUMBER OF JOBS HELD BY SHAREMILKERS

There has been much speculation in the dairy industry in recent times that sharemilkers are holding more than one job and thus causing congestion at the top of the system. The sharemilkers surveyed were asked how many sharemilking jobs they currently held. The data is summarised below.

TABLE 26: Number of Positions Held by Sharemilkers


AVERAGE MORE THAN 1 JOB (%)
Waikato 1 3
Canterbury 1 <1

This suggests that the speculation is unfounded, with only 3% of sharemilkers in the Waikato and less than 1% in Canterbury having more than one job. This is consistent with farm owner desires to see that their sharemilker is fully focused on the one job.

10.7 EDUCATION

From the survey, it can be derived that the number of farmers with post secondary school qualifications has more than doubled over the past 30 years. This is outlined in Table 27.

TABLE 27: Post Secondary School Qualifications of Farm Owners and Sharemilkers


WAIKATO

(%)

CANTERBURY

(%)

Sharemilkers 71 61
Farm owners 25 <1

Table 28 summarises the types of qualifications gained by the different groups. The predominant qualifications of farm owners were a Certificate in farming or a University Diploma. With the expansion of Polytechnic services throughout the country, Certificates and Trade Certificates in farming have become the more common qualifications. University Diplomas have fallen out of favour.

University qualifications are more common among sharemilkers in Canterbury, perhaps reflecting the proximity of Lincoln University.

TABLE 28: Post Secondary School Education of Farm Owners and Sharemilkers


Sharemilkers (%) Farm Owners (%)

Waikato Canterbury Waikato Canterbury [ Data was excluded due to low number of returns .]
Certificate in farming 34 24 40 NA
Trade Certificate 36 28 15 NA
Polytechnic Diploma 9 10 5 NA
University Diploma 9 14 30 NA
University Degree 9 19 0 NA
Other 3 5 10 NA
TOTALS 100 100 100 NA

10.8 TYPES OF AGREEMENTS

There has been much speculation that among 50/50 type agreements there has been an emergence of variable order agreements of 55/45 or even 60/40 in favour of the farm owner. This has been seen as an attempt on the part of the farm owner to increase their return on capital relative to that of the sharemilker.

The incidence of these types of agreement among the groups of farmers surveyed is outlined in the table below.

TABLE 29: Variations on the Sharemilking Agreements


WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
50/50 85 96
45/55 3.4 0
60/40 0.6 0
Other 11 4

The 50/50 agreement is by far the most widely used. Variable order 50/50 type agreements are much less common than speculation in the industry would indicate, with only 4% of agreements falling into this category in the Waikato and none in Canterbury. Other agreements are those which generally involve family arrangements.

As the 50/50 agreement is not "set in concrete", there is room for farm owners and sharemilkers to negotiate contracts to suit the circumstance. In some cases this is used to disadvantage the sharemilker through increasing their cost structure.

Both sharemilkers and owners were asked if they had any clauses in their agreements which were not standard. Their responses are outlined in Table 30.

TABLE 30: Variations in 50/50 Agreements


WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
Farm owners 12 20
Sharemilkers 36 52

The majority of those variations were based on the sharemilker receiving all the bobby calf cheque in return for paying all animal health and all the grazing costs. In effect, these clauses alter the agreement to a point where it is a 55/45 agreement, or worse, in favour of the farm owner, but still under the guise of a 50/50 agreement.

The problem is noticed more by the sharemilkers who are on the receiving end of the higher costs. It is possible that such a clause is now regarded as standard and, as such, other farm owners and sharemilkers may not recognise it as a non standard arrangement.

The effect of these clauses is exacerbated by the current low bobby calf and cull cow prices, which may change, and the higher incidence of grazing young stock off compared with five years ago. (These influences are more fully discussed in section 7.1 on page 21)

10.9 FUTURE CHANGES IN SHAREMILKING AGREEMENTS

Farm owners were asked whether or not they expected to change their current farm management arrangement. In the Waikato, 34% of farm owners indicated that their agreement was likely to change, and 20% in Canterbury thought likewise. The types of management structure they would be likely to adopt is shown below.

TABLE 31: Likely Management Structure if 50/50 Agreement is Discontinued


WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
Varied percentage 50/50 type agreement 55 0
Lower order sharemilker 9 0
Contract milker 15 0
Farm manager 15 100
Lease to other operation 6 0

Farmers in the Waikato who are likely to change their management structure, prefer the varied percentage 50/50 agreement, with contract milkers and farm managers as their next most preferred options. The preference for contract milkers, over lower order sharemilkers, suggests that many farm owners either do not differentiate between the two, or are not aware of the disadvantages of contract agreement with regards to taxation.

The low response rate of farm owners in Canterbury makes it difficult to establish what sort of arrangement would be most preferred. With the advent of the Tasman Agriculture varied share agreement, where sharemilkers receive a varied percentage of the payout depending on the payout level for that season, it is likely that many farm owners will follow this lead. The advantage of such a move from the farm owners point of view would be to retain the more motivated and skilled labour input represented by the sharemilker, while increasing the return to the farm owner.

10.10 GOALS OF THE SHAREMILKER

Sharemilkers were asked to define their goals in light of the changing balance in the industry between farm owners and sharemilkers. The results of this can be seen in Table 32.

TABLE 32: Goals of 50/50 Sharemilkers


WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
Purchase of dairy farm 53 39
Purchase of drystock farm 8 13
Purchase of small lifestyle block 6 13
To continue sharemilking as a career 12 13
Accumulate capital for other ventures 21 18
Other 0 4
TOTALS 100 100

To purchase a dairy farm is still the predominant goal of 53% of sharemilkers in the Waikato and 39% of sharemilkers in the Canterbury region. Those wishing to purchase any type of farm accounted for 61% and 52% of respondents in the Waikato and Canterbury respectively. This compares with 84% of Waikato sharemilkers having farm ownership as their goal in 1993 (Hall and Martyn, 1993).

The second most popular goal of sharemilkers is to accumulate capital for use in ventures outside farm ownership. Only about 12% in both regions considered continuing sharemilking as a career to be a goal. However, when asked directly if sharemilking would be considered as a career option, 22% in the Waikato and 30% in Canterbury indicated that it would be. This suggests that although not the ideal choice, sharemilkers are at least willing to consider sharemilking as a career if the goal of farm ownership proves to be unobtainable.

In general, sharemilkers in both regions only expected to remain in this part of the industry for a further 7-8 years. This would make their average age on completion of the sharemilking phase of their career 41 in the Waikato and 42 in Canterbury. In table 33 this is compared to the same milestone for 50/50 sharemilkers 30 years ago, who are farm owners in 1996.

TABLE 33: Average Age of Sharemilkers Completing the Sharemilking Phase of their Career Today and 30 Years Ago


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
30 years ago [ Derived from actual survey data .] 32 29
Today1 41 42
Difference 9 13

The average age of sharemilkers completing their sharemilking careers in the Waikato has increased to 41 from 32. This is a difference of 9 years. The average difference in age for Canterbury sharemilkers is 13 years but once again this should only be used as an indication due to the low numbers of valid responses to the survey.

Sharemilkers are now older before they finish sharemilking compared with 26 years ago. The reasons for this are likely to be a combination of a longer period of education, resulting in later entry into the industry, and a slower progression through the industry as a result of the requirement to accumulate so much more capital for farm purchase than was necessary 26 years ago.

Sharemilkers were asked what they expected to do following completion of the sharemilking phase of their career. Their responses are outlined in Table 34.

TABLE 34: Intentions of Sharemilkers on Completion of Sharemilking Career


WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
Purchase a farm 70 62
Retire 3 10
Leave dairy industry 15 8
Take up another job in the dairy industry 4 13
Other 8 7
TOTAL 100 100

By far the majority of those exiting the sharemilking industry expect to purchase a farm. This contradicts the goals of the sharemilkers which suggest only 53% of sharemilkers wish to purchase a farm in the Waikato and only 39% wish to do so in Canterbury.

This may be a reflection on sharemilkers not really knowing what they would do with themselves if they finished their sharemilking career without being able to first purchase a farm. It is likely that this question reflects a default answer.

10.11 SHAREMILKERS AS FARM PURCHASERS

Purchasing a farm has been the traditional end point of an individual's climb through the sharemilking system. Some sharemilkers have even come to believe it is a right. Having established in previous sections that not all current sharemilkers will be able to purchase a farm it is prudent to take a closer look at those who will be able to do so.

Sharemilkers were asked what age they expect to be when they will be able to purchase their first farm. This is compared with the age of current farm owners when they purchased their farms.

FIGURE 35: Age of Sharemilkers and Farm Owners when they Purchased their First Farm


WAIKATO CANTERBURY
Farm owners 30 26
Expected for sharemilkers 40 39
Difference 10 13

Sharemilkers in the Waikato today are likely to take 10 years longer to purchase their first farms than did their counterparts 28 years ago in 1968. The factors most likely to influence this are the land price in the area, the payout, and the way the payout is divided between the farm owner and sharemilker. The apparent 13 year difference in Canterbury also indicates that sharemilkers are taking a longer time to purchase a first farm in that region.

This concurs with sharemilker opinion on how long it takes them to purchase a farm now compared with 10 years ago. When asked for their opinion, the consensus was that it now took a longer time to purchase a first farm.

EQUITY REQUIRED TO PURCHASE A FARM

Expressing the equity required to purchase a farm in terms of the number of cows required, provides a useful barometer for the sharemilker of how their asset in the form of cows is keeping track with inflation in land prices. In the survey, sharemilkers were asked to estimate how much equity they will require, expressed as a number of cows, to purchase a first farm. In the Waikato, sharemilkers considered 660 cows would be sufficient to provide purchase equity on a first farm. In Canterbury the estimated figure was 744 cows.

The Canterbury farmers are not far off the mark with their estimate. However, Waikato farmers estimates are about 320 cows lower than the analysis in this paper would suggest (refer to Table 14).

As there are insufficient large sharemilking jobs available, it becomes necessary for sharemilkers to build or gather equity in areas outside of their immediate sharemilking position. Traditionally, it is believed that equity has come from cows and family assistance. To get some insight into where sharemilkers expect their equity will come from to purchase their farm, they were asked to indicate their expected sources. Their responses are outlined below.

TABLE 36: Sources of Equity for Farm Purchase


WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
Assets accumulated as cows 45 56
Other investments 24 28
Family 19 8
Investment partners 9 8
Other 3 0
Total 100 100

The majority of sharemilkers, around 50% of respondents, still expect to accumulate equity as cow numbers. Other investments also rated highly as a source of equity. Family investment was rated relatively lowly in Canterbury (8%) but climbed to 19% in the Waikato. Investment partners or equity ventures [ An equity venture is where two or more partners contribute equity towards the partnerships operation and are rewarded with a proportionate share income from the venture.] will possibly be entered into by about 10% of sharemilkers. This is a real possibility with high numbers of dairy conversions in fringe areas where sheep and beef farmers do not currently have the skills necessary to make a successful transition into dairy farming.

10.12 INVESTMENT OUTSIDE THE DAIRY INDUSTRY

With 26% of respondents expecting to build equity in investments outside of dairy farming, the forms of investment sharemilkers are making is also of interest.

Currently only 22% of sharemilkers in Canterbury and the Waikato have any investment off the farm. Current off-farm investment falls into the following categories.

TABLE 37: Areas of Off-farm Investment for the Sharemilker


WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
Urban property 48 50
Commercial property 0 0
Company shares 24 0
Forestry 4 30
Other 24 20
Total 100 100

Urban property is the most popular form of off farm investment for sharemilkers. Company shares and forestry were also used as off farm investments. "Other" investments were usually bank savings. This form of investment accounted for 20% of investors.

10.13 SHAREMILKERS WHO OWN FARMS

The goal of more than half of the sharemilkers surveyed was to purchase their own farm. A number of sharemilkers have managed to do this while maintaining their sharemilking position. This situation has also been blamed for the slowing of progress through the sharemilking industry.

In the Waikato, 9% of sharemilkers own a farm in addition to their sharemilking job, while 17% of sharemilkers have their own farm in Canterbury. The reason for the difference between areas is likely to be the lower land price in Canterbury and a greater availability of medium sized blocks. The type of farm, size and management arrangement vary markedly between owners. These are outlined in Tables 38 and 39.

TABLE 38: Type of Farms Owned by Current Sharemilkers

FARM TYPE WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
Dairy 57 75
Sheep & Beef 43 25
Lifestyle 0 0
Other 0 0
Total 100 100
Average size (Ha) 50 90

TABLE 39: Operating Structure of Farms Owned by Sharemilkers


WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
Owner operated 50 25
50/50 sharemilker 17 0
Lower order/contract milker 0 0
Farm manager 33 25
Lease 0 50
Other 0 0
Total 100 100

As can be seen in Tables 38 and 39, the preferred farm type for purchase by sharemilkers is dairy. The average size is 50 ha in the Waikato and 90 ha in Canterbury, which represents a reasonably sized owner operator property for each district.

The management arrangements vary widely depending on circumstance and locality of farms relative to the owner=s sharemilking position.

Having purchased their first farms it is difficult to know how long it will take today's sharemilkers to put on their own sharemilker and retire. For today's farm owners, survey results suggest that this period was approximately 15 years.

10.14 WHY EMPLOY A SHAREMILKER?

The reasons why farm owners employ sharemilkers are shown in Table 40.

TABLE 40: Reasons for Employing a 50/50 Sharemilker


WAIKATO (%) CANTERBURY (%)
Provide retirement income 35 29
Stopgap until family takeover 15 14
To free time for other activities 42 57
To run the investment property 3 0
Total 100 100

The two major reasons for employing a sharemilker are to provide retirement income and to free the farm owners' time (for either other employment or other activities.) All of these reasons can be roughly translated to mean they no longer want to milk cows.

Surprisingly only 10-15% of farm owners in either region indicated that the sharemilker was on the property until such time as family could take over the farm. This indicates properties will not become firmly held within families, as is the situation in Europe, at least in the medium term.

Approximately 3% of respondents indicated that they employed a sharemilker to run their investment property. These respondents included both farm owners who had milked cows themselves and owners who had never milked cows before. No direct question was asked regarding the incidence of business investors so no frequency can be estimated.

Despite the drop in income incurred through putting a sharemilker on the property, farm owners in both regions indicated that they were either not worried by, or satisfied with, the current return they are gaining from their farm.

Farm owners also considered that there is no shortage of sharemilkers in either region to fill the positions they were offering. This correlates well with sharemilkers finding it difficult to find sharemilking jobs, and even more so to find "good" sharemilking jobs. Unfortunately "good" was not defined. However in the experience of the author this is usually meant as a reasonable sized, well developed, well set up farm with adequate inputs and a farm owner who is happy to let the sharemilker have free rein.

The current surplus of sharemilkers available to fill jobs suggests that there is a high demand for such positions due to the rewards and the merit of the job. While this is true to some extent, the surplus of sharemilkers evident is also a symptom of a back logged system where fewer sharemilkers are moving onto land ownership. As a result, large jobs are not as readily available as they have been in the past, meaning increased competition all the way back down the line especially in the 200 to 300 cow sized job. The sharemilkers available to fill positions were considered by farm owners to be of good quality.

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