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2006 Sheep and beef monitoring report

Published September 2006

A short-term financial and physical forecast reflecting farmer and industry perceptions of farming figures, trends and issues.

Each year the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry’s policy unit (MAF Policy) monitors the production and financial status of farms and orchards. The unit also monitors trends, issues and sector concerns. It uses this information to create models of specific farm and orchard types: for example, South Island merino farms, Waikato/Bay of Plenty dairy farms, or Bay of Plenty kiwifruit orchards.

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Table of Contents

• Download this report as a PDF file [PDF  711K]
• Acknowledgments
• 1  Introduction
• How the models were created
• Calculations used in the models

• 2  Overview of the sheep and beef sector
  • Review of 2005/06
  • Outlook for 2006/07
  • Snow
• 3  Northland sheep and beef
  • The Northland sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 4  Waikato/Bay of Plenty intensive sheep and beef
  • The Waikato/Bay of Plenty intensive sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 5  Central North Island hill country sheep and beef
  • The Central North Island hill country sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 6  Gisborne large hill country sheep and beef
  • The Gisborne large hill country sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 7  Hawkes Bay/Wairarapa hill country sheep and beef
  • The Hawkes Bay/Wairarapa hill country sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 8  Manawatu/Rangitikei intensive sheep and beef
  • The Manawatu/Rangitikei intensive sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 9  South Island merino
  • The South Island merino farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 10 Canterbury/Marlborough hill country sheep and beef
  • The Canterbury/Marlborough hill country farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 11 Canterbury/Marlborough breeding and finishing sheep and beef
  • The Canterbury/Marlborough breeding and finishing sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 12 Otago dry hill sheep and beef
  • The Otago dry hill sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 13 Southland/South Otago hill country sheep and beef
  • The Southland/South Otago hill country sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• 14 Southland/South Otago intensive sheep and beef
  • The Southland/South Otago intensive sheep and beef farm
  • Key points
  • Physical factors
  • Financial position of the farm
  • Issues and trends
• National sheep and beef model
• Appendix A Sector price summary tables
• Appendix B Sheep and beef monitoring team

List of tables

• Table 2.1: Sheep and beef model results, 2005/06
• Table 3.1: Northland sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 3.2: Key parameters of the Northland sheep and beef model
• Table 3.3: Northland sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 3.4: Northland sheep and beef budget
• Table 3.5: Northland sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 4.1: Waikato/Bay of Plenty intensive sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 4.2: Key parameters of the Waikato/Bay of Plenty intensive sheep and beef model
• Table 4.3: Waikato/Bay of Plenty rainfall
• Table 4.4: Waikato/Bay of Plenty Intensive sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 4.5: Waikato/Bay of Plenty intensive sheep and beef budget
• Table 4.6: Waikato/Bay of Plenty intensive sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 5.1: Central North Island hill country sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 5.2: Key parameters of the Central North Island hill country sheep and beef model
• Table 5.3: Central North Island rainfall
• Table 5.4: Central North Island hill country sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 5.5: Central North Island hill country sheep and beef budget
• Table 5.6: Central North Island hill country sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 6.1: Gisborne large hill country sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 6.2: Key parameters of the Gisborne large hill country sheep and beef model
• Table 6.3: Gisborne large hill country sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 6.4: Gisborne large hill country sheep and beef budget
• Table 6.5: Gisborne large hill country sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 7.1: Hawkes Bay/Wairarapa hill country sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 7.2: Key parameters of the Hawkes Bay/Wairarapa hill country sheep and beef model
• Table 7.3: Hawkes Bay/Wairarapa hill country sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 7.4: Hawkes Bay/Wairarapa hill country sheep and beef budget
• Table 7.5: Hawkes Bay/Wairarapa hill country sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 8.1: Manawatu/Rangitikei intensive sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 8.2: Key parameters of the Manawatu/Rangitikei intensive sheep and beef model
• Table 8.3: Manawatu/Rangitikei intensive sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 8.4: Manawatu/Rangitikei intensive sheep and beef budget
• Table 8.5: Manawatu/Rangitikei intensive sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 9.1: South Island merino model summary, 2005/06
• Table 9.2: Key parameters of the South Island merino model
• Table 9.3: South Island merino cash farm revenue
• Table 9.4: South Island merino budget
• Table 9.5: South Island merino expenditure
• Table 10.1: Canterbury/Marlborough hill country sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 10.2: Key parameters of the Canterbury/Marlborough hill country sheep and beef model
• Table 10.3: Canterbury/Marlborough hill country sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 10.4: Canterbury/Marlborough hill country sheep and beef budget
• Table 10.5: Canterbury/Marlborough hill country sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 11.1: Canterbury/Marlborough breeding and finishing sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 11.2: Key parameters of the Canterbury/Marlborough breeding and finishing sheep and beef model
• Table 11.3: Canterbury/Marlborough breeding and finishing sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 11.4: Canterbury/Marlborough breeding and finishing sheep and beef budget
• Table 11.5: Canterbury/Marlborough breeding and finishing sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 12.1: Otago dry hill sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 12.2: Key parameters of the Otago dry hill sheep and beef model
• Table 12.3: Otago dry hill sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 12.4: Otago dry hill sheep and beef budget
• Table 12.5: Otago dry hill sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 13.1: Southland/South Otago hill country sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 13.2: Key parameters of the Southland/South Otago hill country sheep and beef model
• Table 13.3: Southland/South Otago hill country sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 13.4: Southland/South Otago hill country sheep and beef budget
• Table 13.5: Southland/South Otago hill country sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 14.1: Southland/South Otago intensive sheep and beef model summary, 2005/06
• Table 14.2: Key parameters of the Southland/South Otago intensive sheep and beef model
• Table 14.3: Southland/South Otago intensive sheep and beef cash farm revenue
• Table 14.4: Southland/South Otago intensive sheep and beef budget
• Table 14.5: Southland/South Otago intensive sheep and beef expenditure
• Table 15.1: National sheep and beef model summary
• Table 15.2: National sheep and beef budget
• Table 15.3: National sheep and beef expenditure
• Appendix A: Sector price summary tables
• Appendix B: Sheep and beef monitoring team

List of figures

• Figure 2.1: Agricultural production statistics, June 2005 – North Island
• Figure 2.2: Agricultural production statistics, June 2005 – South Island
• Figure 3.1: Northland sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 4.1: Waikato/Bay of Plenty intensive sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 5.1: Central North Island hill country sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 6.1: Gisborne large hill country sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 7.1: Hawkes Bay/Wairarapa hill country sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 8.1: Manawatu/Rangitikei intensive sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 9.1: South Island merino profitability trends
• Figure 10.1: Canterbury/Marlborough hill country sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 11.1: Mid Canterbury foothills rainfall
• Figure 11.2: Canterbury/Marlborough breeding and finishing sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 12.1: Otago dry hill sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 13.1: Southland/South Otago hill country sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 14.1: Southland/South Otago intensive sheep and beef profitability trends
• Figure 15.1: National sheep and beef profitability trends

 

Contact for Enquiries

Farm Monitoring Programme Manager
Monitoring and Evaluation
MAF Policy
PO Box 2526
Wellington
NEW ZEALAND
Phone: +64 4 894 0623
Fax: +64 4 894 0741
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