Situation and Outlook for New Zealand Agriculture and Forestry (August 2008)
Contents
- Foreword
- 1 What’s behind the forecasts
- 2 Agriculture and forestry from 2008 to 2012
- 3 New Zealand–China Free Trade Agreement
- 4 Fast forward
- 5 A changing climate
- 6 Science and the greenhouse dilemma
- 7 Forestry – the next 20 years
- 8 Biosecurity
- 9 Kiwifruit
- 10 Wine
- 11 Apples and pears
- 12 Fresh and processed vegetables
- 13 Arable
- 14 Forestry
- 15 Deer
- 16 Lamb
- 17 Wool
- 18 Beef
- 19 Dairy
List of figures
- 2.1: Prices for New Zealand’s major forestry and agricultural commodities in international markets
- 2.2: New Zealand climatic conditions
- 2.3: Real New Zealand retail fuel prices
- 2.4: Agriculture and food, beverage and tobacco manufacturing productivity
- 2.5: Forestry and logging and wood and paper product processing
- 3.1: New Zealand agricultural and forestry exports to China
- 5.1: Projected average recurrence interval (years) in 2080s under (a) low medium and (b) medium high scenarios for driest annual conditions that currently occur on average once every 20 years
- 5.2: Growing degree day values
- 5.3: Difference in future growing degree day values
- 9.1: Kiwifruit export destinations, by value
- 10.1: Vineyard area, by variety
- 11.1: Pipfruit export volume, by variety
- 12.1: Vegetable export destinations, by value
- 13.1: Arable cropping area, hectares
- 14.1: Forestry shipping rates (Baltic Exchange Supramax Index)
- 15.1: Venison export destinations, by value
- 16.1: Lamb export destinations, by value
- 16.2: Adult sheep slaughter
- 17.1: Wool export destinations, by value
- 18.1: Beef export value, by destination
- 19.1: Skim milk powder export volumes, by major exporter
- 19.2: Dairy export prices in US dollar terms
- 19.3: Dairy export volumes, by product
List of tables
- 2.1: Trading partner growth (annual average percentage change)
- 2.2: Interest and exchange rate assumptions, March quarter average
- 2.3: Gross agricultural revenue and expenditure
- 5.1: Potential changes in high-producing pasture
- 9.1: Kiwifruit export prices, volumes and value
- 10.1: Wine export prices, volumes and value
- 11.1: Apple and pear export prices, volumes and value
- 12.1: Vegetable export volumes and value
- 13.1: Arable export value and prices
- 14.1: Forestry export prices, volumes and value
- 15.1: Velvet and venison export prices, volumes and value
- 16.1: Lamb prices, export volumes and value
- 17.1: Wool prices and export volumes and value
- 18.1: Beef prices and export volumes and value
- 19.1: Dairy production, payout and export value
Online tables
- A.1: Livestock numbers in New Zealand [Excel 25KB]; [CSV 2KB]
- A.2: Land used for agriculture and forestry in New Zealand [Excel 28KB]; [CSV 4KB]
- A.3: Freehold farm sales in New Zealand [Excel 24KB]; [CSV 3KB]
- A.4: Productivity indexes for New Zealand agriculture and forestry sectors and the wider economy [Excel 26KB]; [CSV 3KB]
- A.5: Livestock slaughter statistics in New Zealand [Excel 28KB]; [CSV 3KB]
- A.6: Roundwood removal estimates from forests in New Zealand [Excel 32KB]; [CVS 6KB]
- A.7: Producer prices in New Zealand [Excel 28KB]; [CSV 4KB]
- A.8: Exports of agriculture and forestry from New Zealand [Excel 28KB]; [CSV 3KB]
- A.9: Gross domestic product contribution by selected industries in New Zealand (current prices) [Excel 28KB]; [CSV 2KB]
- A.10: Gross domestic product components by selected production group in New Zealand (current prices) [Excel 24KB]; [CSV 3KB]
- A.11: Employment in agriculture in New Zealand [Excel 26KB]; [CSV 4KB]
- A.12: Employment in forestry and logging, agriculture services, and first-stage processing in New Zealand [Excel 26KB]; [CSV 4KB]
- A.13: Support estimates to agriculture in New Zealand [Excel 30KB]; [CVS 6KB]
- A.14: Support estimates to agriculture - international comparisons [Excel 29KB]; [CSV 7KB]
You can download this publication as a PDF, either the full document [2.76MB] or by section:
- Contents/Foreword [PDF 214KB]
- What's behind the Forecasts/Agriculture and forestry from 2008 to 2012 [PDF 353KB]
- Issues facing the primary sector
- Situation and outlook for the primary sectors
- Kiwifruit/Wine [PDF 652KB]
- Apples and pears/Fresh and processed vegetables/Arable [PDF 644KB]
- Forestry/Deer [PDF 542KB]
- Lamb/Wool [PDF 473KB]
- Beef/Dairy [PDF 506KB]
Further copies
You can request hardcopies of this publication from:
Policy Publications
MAF Policy
PO Box 2526
Wellington
New Zealand
Tel: +64 4 894 0252
Email: policy.publications@maf.govt.nz
Acknowledgements
Darran Austin, Rod Forbes, Elzet Grant-Fargie, Irene Parminter, Nick Dalgety, Kay Cao, Murray Doak, Loretta Dobbs, Annette Carey, David Allen, Trecia Smith, John Novis, Kelly Dustow and Mark Aspin of the Pastoral Greenhouse Gas Research Consortium. Thanks to Helen Matterson of Lindsay Consulting Ltd for project management and editorial services and to Claudia Riley and Janine Pollock for publication design and support.
Published by:
MAF Policy
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry
Pastoral House
25 The Terrace
PO Box 2526
Wellington
New Zealand
Tel: +64 4 894 0100
Fax: +64 4 894 0742
ISBN 978-0-478-32147-0 (Print)
ISBN 978-0-478-32148-7 (Online)
ISSN 0113-2164
© Crown copyright 2008 - Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. This document may be copied for non-commercial purposes providing its source is acknowledged.
Disclaimer
While every effort has been made to ensure the information in this publication is accurate, the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry does not accept any responsibility or liability for error of fact, omission, interpretation or opinion that may be present, nor for the consequences of any decisions based on this information.
Contact for Enquiries
Monitoring and Evaluation
PO Box 2526
Wellington
New Zealand
